Some of you have suggested that I should stop picking Florida to win because when I do, they don’t.

OK, time to make the change.

I’m picking Georgia to win this game.

It’s not a hard call, really. The Gators are in a slump and riding a three-game losing streak, while the Dawgs are soaring with a three-game winning streak. I know, I know, Georgia’s three wins have come against Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Kentucky, but those were feel-good victories that have given Georgia something Florida lost several weeks ago — confidence.

Here are some other reasons why I think the ‘Dogs will get it done Saturday:

  • Aaron Murray is hot, and John Brantley is not (and I’m not talking about looks, I’m talking about quarterback play).
  • The Bulldogs are rolling, while the Gators appear stuck in neutral (or maybe even reverse).
  • The Florida  offense has drawn the brunt of the criticism, but the defense has played just as big a role in the three-game losing streak. The Gators can’t get anyone off the field. With Georgia’s balanced attack, the ‘Dogs are going to hog the ball all game long. If the Gators couldn’t stop a one-dimensional Mississippi State offense when it had to in the second half two weeks ago, they will have zero chance to shut down a Georgia offense that has been lighting it up.
  • Everyone has been talking about the changes the Gators made during the bye week. It sounds good, but this team is what it is. An extra week isn’t going to make that much of a difference.
  • Georgia’s secondary has been susceptible at times, but Brantley is not going to have time to exploit the potential weakness. That’s pretty much the way it’s been all season concerning protection for Brantley.
  • The Gators have owned the series over the past 20 years. But this is one of those years where the Bulldogs are simply better — and playing better than the Gators.

It all adds up to this: Georgia 28, Florida 10.

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